For example, if he decides that actually we should try to build ASI even if it means a great risk to the human race. Or if he decides that the creation of ASI doesn't actually pose a great risk to the human race.
Update 2025-02-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Key Resolution Update:
The reversal must include an explicit admission that Yudkowsky was wrong about his previous stance on AI safety.
Merely adjusting his perspective (e.g., claiming he was only slightly off or that we just got lucky) will not meet the criteria.
The explicit admission is the central and decisive component for a valid resolution.
1,000If he dies before we get AGI or ASI, that would mean he has no way of reversing his opinion, and then this would have to resolve NO, right?
@jim How about if he's still pretty much entirely himself, but a slightly different version of himself that just looooves paperclips? That is to say:
He gazed up at the enormous face. Forty years it had taken him to learn what kind of smile was hidden beneath the dark moustache. O cruel, needless misunderstanding! O stubborn, self-willed exile from the loving breast! Two gin-scented tears trickled down the sides of his nose. But it was all right, everything was all right, the struggle was finished. He had won the victory over himself. He loved Big Brother.
Does it count if we develop a strong AGI by 2030, it doesn’t lead to doom, and Yudkowsky admits that he was wrong?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
Why use play money?
Why use play money?