What percent of 2022 FTX Future Fund grantees and regrantees will receive continued grant funding from some other source at any time during 2023? | Manifold

What percent of 2022 FTX Future Fund grantees and regrantees will receive continued grant funding from some other source at any time during 2023?

What percent of 2022 FTX Future Fund grantees and regrantees will receive continued grant funding from some other source at any time during 2023?

6

130Ṁ115

Jul 1

71%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

A lot of organizations that received FTXFF$ this year are in a tight spot right now. Resolves to percent in July 2024, to allow time for reporting. Here are the list of current grantees: https://archive.ph/W3HRR

RESOLUTION MECHANISM: To shirk tedium, I will tip Ṁ50 per comment which reports that an organization received funding. If you wish to subsidize this effort, tip the market [ideally sooner, so I can run off with your money and forget about this whole endeavor].

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Conditional on having received grant money (after Aug 11, 2022) *from a group in the debtor group as part of the FTX bankruptcy proceedings*, will 1 or more grant recipient be asked to pay at least some of their grant money back?

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Related questions

Conditional on having received grant money (after Aug 11, 2022) *from a group in the debtor group as part of the FTX bankruptcy proceedings*, will 1 or more grant recipient be asked to pay at least some of their grant money back?

What percentage of FTX Future Fund grant funds will ultimately be returned/clawed back?

What % of FTX money will be clawed back from grantees, resolves to my best guess?

Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Will any FTXFF grantee be legally compelled to return funds due to FTX's bankruptcy?

Across, 2025 will a majority of EA funding rounds have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met?

How many USD will the Long Term Future Fund (LTFF) pay out in 2025?

What % of assets will FTX international clients get back?

What percentage of their money will FTX customers get back?

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