will I, nik, wake up? [cryonics]
1
1kṀ20002999
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
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Resolves yes if I die, and then wake up after cryonic preservation before NYE 2999 (whether or not I die again after waking up). I need to be dead for at least 48h for it to count.
Resolves no if I am still dead by 3000.
If I’m still alive by the year 3k through other means this market also resolves yes. Similarly I’ll take a decently expansive definition of what counts as "myself", strict continuity isn’t required.
If mana becomes much more valuable in the future and someone manipulates this market into resolving No (eg. by sabotaging my corpse) this market resolves in whatever way causes them the most damage.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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also see https://manifold.markets/spider/will-i-wake-up-cryonics which inspired me to do this