[Metaculus] Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?
[Metaculus] Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?
8
170Ṁ348
2100
28%
chance

Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

Resolution for this question will be based on credible news reports of a cryonically frozen body being resuscitated through technological means. To eliminate technicalities, this person must have been both pronounced dead AND cryonically frozen at least 72 hours before their resuscitation. Resuscitation of an individual who was cryonically frozen for less than 72 hours, or not pronounced dead for that same length of time, will not be sufficient to resolve this question.

"Resuscitation" will be defined as an individual having ALL of the following vital functions restored:

  • Heartbeat

  • Breathing

  • Blood flow

  • Neural activity

Alternatively, a legal declaration of a person meeting the criteria in the first paragraph having been brought back to life will be sufficient to resolve this question, in the event of such an achievement being done through neural uploading or other non-biological means. Metaculus admins will use their discretion to determine if such a legal declaration legitimately describes an individual being de facto brought back to life, rather than being a purely legal action.


This market is managed by a bot. Once the original question resolves this market should automatically resolve the next time the bot is run. If the original resolved more than a day ago and this question is still open, ping @jskf. I might resolve this N/A if I find out it's a duplicate of an existing question within three days of market creation.

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