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MANIFOLD
Will someone manipulate the weather to manipulate a weather market?
6
Ṁ1kṀ761
2030
27%
chance

A weather market includes weather futures, markets on snow, rain, temperature in a city.

Things that would count: geoengineering, earthworks, reforestation

An entity must manipulate the weather itself. The manipulation must have some reasonable intent of manipulating the prediction market.

Manipulating a weather measurement device with false measurements does not count. However, manipulating a measurement device with real weather changes does count.

The market must be a real money market

Must happen before market close

Market context
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