Will anyone do something significantly unpleasant to me to manipulate any of my personal markets before 2035?
4
28
Ṁ116Ṁ110
2035
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Minor annoyances don't count. Only things that I'd consider seriously unethical. I'll defer to a community vote if it seems borderline.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will any of my markets get me a cease-and-desist or legal threat by 2030?
17% chance
Will anyone file a lawsuit to insider trade on a Manifold market, by 2030?
28% chance
By 2030, will I have strong regrets about having created some market about an aspect of my personal life?
25% chance
Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2035?
16% chance
Will anyone do significant harm to another person in order to manipulate a market on Manifold by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will I be around to resolve this market in December 2037?
33% chance
Will somebody get arrested as a result of an attempt to manipulate a market on Manifold before 2025?
6% chance
Will any of my markets get me a cease-and-desist or legal threat by 2030?
11% chance
Will someone commit murder for the sake of a Manifold death market by the end of 2030?
2% chance
Will there be a recorded case of manipulating the real stock exchange index to obtain a huge amount of Ṁ before 2035?
5% chance