Will we have total control over the weather before 2100?
13
58
320
2100
15%
chance

"We" refers to humans, human-generated tools, AIs, etc.

Total control over the weather means being able to choose what climate condition happens anywhere on earth at any time, for any climate condition that naturally occurs anywhere on Earth. For example, if it is sometimes -54C in Antarctica, then we can choose to make everywhere on Earth's surface temperature be -54C, tomorrow, if we wish to.


Do not confuse this stronger condition with the ones used in these markets:
/Bayesian/will-we-be-able-to-control-the-weat-f47455a10483

/Bayesian/will-we-be-able-to-control-the-weat

/Bayesian/will-we-be-able-to-control-the-weat-ae971df8b4cd

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Not much incentive to put money in this.