Somebody tries to manipulate a regulated drug trial to win money on a prediction market before September 2029
2
Ṁ100Ṁ122029
45%
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Must be real money prediction markets. Must be a trial overseen by an official national agency regulating drugs for human use (e.g., FDA in the US, but any nation works). Based on credible reporting, does not need to be a conviction. Conspiring with others to manipulate the trial also resolves YES.
Partly subjective resolution, won't bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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