Will someone manipulate a fire market?
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A fire market includes number of fires, fire size, fire containment, etc.
An entity must manipulate the fire itself. The manipulation must have some reasonable intent of manipulating the prediction market.
Things that would count: Creating a firebreak, hiring private firefighters, preventative actions, arson.
Manipulating a website or other fire measurement means will not count.
The market must be a real money market
Must happen before market close
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