[Metaculus] Will the US or EU seize Russian sovereign assets in 2024?
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7
155
2025
51%
chance

Will the US or EU seize Russian sovereign assets in 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if credible sources report that any Russian sovereign assets currently frozen in the US or any EU country are seized on the government's order, before January 1, 2025.

Only sovereign assets count; assets belonging to individuals, private, or state-owned Russian companies do not count towards resolution of this question. Seizing profits generated by frozen assets, such as interest on bank accounts, also does not count.

If no credible sources report the seizure of Russian sovereign assets by the US or EU before January 1, 2025, this question resolves as No.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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