Will Russia's frozen state assets be seized before 2026 ?
Will Russia's frozen state assets be seized before 2026 ?
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The economist reports: some $300bn of Russian central-bank assets are frozen in Western accounts as a result of sanctions.
There's been a lot of discussion lately wether these assets should be used to rebuild Ukraine after the war and wether such a thing is legal.
This market resolves Yes if any country or countries officially seizes assets of more than $50bn originally belonging to the Russian central bank that were frozen in accordance with Ukraine related sanctions.
It does not matter if the assets are used for Ukraine reconstruction or other reasons.
Private assets belonging to Russian oligarchs are excluded from this market.
I will resolve this via Wikipedia, or reputable mainstream media.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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