[Metaculus] Will the Atlantic Ocean's daily mean sea surface temperature surpass 2023's reco...e before October 1, 2024?
7
Ṁ7043
Oct 2
5%
chance

Will the Atlantic Ocean's daily mean sea surface temperature surpass 2023's record peak temperature before October 1, 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if the "Daily Sea Surface Temperature, North Atlantic" chart—accessible when choosing "North Atlantic" from the "Area Selection" dropdown menu at the link—shows the 2024 line graph surpassing 2023's peak temperature record of 25.4 C set on August 31, 2023, for any day before October 1, 2024. The question will resolve when the data for September 30 is first available on the chart and accessed by Metaculus.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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