[Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
Mini
3
แน€30
2030
64%
chance

Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question will resolve positive if before 2030, credible media reports indicate that there have been sustained hurricane-force winds of at least 33 meters per second for one minute at 10m above the surface of some point within the city limits of New York City

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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