Will NYC become the new tech capital of the United States by 2030?
45
1kṀ30312030
7%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I'll use my judgment to resolve, but the biggest factors will be the size of the start-up scene, the number of tech employees at tech companies, and public perception.
If NYC has caught up to but not overtaken Silicon Valley, but the trends are strong enough that I can confidently predict that NYC will soon be larger, I'll resolve YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?
51% chance
Will Silicon Valley still be the world's most successful tech hub in 2050?
63% chance
Will Silicon Valley still be the world's most successful tech hub in 2060?
51% chance
Will there be a new revolutionary technology by 2030?
83% chance
[Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
68% chance
Will New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2030?
45% chance
Will any US city experiment with AI-managed governance (e.g., zoning decisions or resource allocation) by 2035?
77% chance
Will a top US AI lab be nationalized by 2030?
30% chance
Will any US city besides NYC/NJ achieve transit ridership >50% by 2030
3% chance
Will Google still be a big tech giant by the end of 2030?
89% chance