[Metaculus] Will Germany supply Ukraine with a Taurus missile in 2024?
21
3.4k
2025
25%
chance

Will Germany supply Ukraine with a Taurus missile in 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question resolves positively if at any point in time during the year 2024, there are credible reports that Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) have at least one Taurus KEPD 350 cruise missile or its variant (see the Fine Print for details) or that AFU have launched one.

Alternatively, the question will resolve positively if the missile is unambiguously listed on the page dedicated to Military support for Ukraine on the German Federal Government's official site. If this page is unavailable, another page may be used as a resolution source as long as it belongs to the German Federal Government's official site and contains a list of military equipment provided to Ukraine by Germany.

If these criteria weren't met until 1 January 2025, 00:00 UTC, the question resolves negatively.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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