Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that India's average fertility rate for 2032 & 2033 will be < 2.0?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

This question belongs to the Bryan Caplan Collection, a series based on bets by economist Bryan Caplan. Find the rest of the series here and Caplan's bet inventory covering most series questions here.

Questions in this series resolve according to the outcome of Bryan Caplan's wager, where a resolution of 'Yes' reflects Caplan winning the bet. Questions resolve per public statements by Caplan.

For this question, a resolution of YES reflects that Caplan won his bet that: India's (Total Fertility Rate in 2032 + Total Fertility Rate in 2033)/2<2.0.

If Caplan does not announce the outcome, this question resolves per the average of World Bank and United Nations estimates of TFR.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.