Will US fertility rates go above 2 births per woman before 2030?
8
150Ṁ2352031
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Using data from here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SPDYNTFRTINUSA
The last time it was above 2 was before 2008 financial crisis. Will we see it get back up above 2 by the end of the decade?
Will resolve YES if any year is recorded with a fertility rate greater than 2, even if it comes back down by 2030.
The last year in scope will be 2029, but resolution will have to wait for final stats to be reported for 2029.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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