Will any OpenAI or Anthropic model be in the top-10 model with a non-proprietary license on May 31, 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if there is at least one model in the top-10 that has a non-proprietary licence and is released by Anthropic or OpenAI based on the rankings of models on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard hosted on the Hugging Face website. Any license that is not ‘Proprietary’ is sufficient for a model to count for resolution. If the leaderboard does not provide sufficient information regarding the licensing or is not updated by the resolution date, the question will resolve as ambiguous.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.