According to the most well used leader board.

Currently we can use: chatbot arena

for clarification: the model that comes first can be different models, but need to be from the same company, and the company need to lead the board for at least 60 days.

assume for the rest of 2024, if comany other than OpenAI comes first for 35 days, even if by the end of 2024 they still stays the first, the option will be resolved to NO.

assume for example one model from Google lead the board for 35days, then another model also from Google lead for another 26 days, then we will resolve YES.

Overall, we want to estimate when will a solid competitor comes out.