[ACX 2024] Will US refugee admissions exceed 100,000 in fiscal year 2024?
Plus
74
Ṁ9415resolved Oct 6
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will US refugee admissions exceed 100,000 in fiscal year 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if, in fiscal year 2024, refugee admissions to the United States exceed 100,000 according to data published by the US Refugee Processing Center (RPC). Note that this question asks for US fiscal year 2024 admissions, which runs from October 2023 to September 2024, not calendar year admissions.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will 2024 have more estimated illegal boarder crossings to the U.S. than in 2023?
57% chance
Will the US admit more than 2 million immigrants in any year before 2030?
44% chance
How many Chinese nationals will be encountered at US borders in 2024? (Independent market)
Will I get a permanent visa to stay in the US in 2024?
56% chance
Will the UK accept refugees from Gaza by the end of 2024?
22% chance
Will Trump significantly expand high-skill immigration by the end of 2026?
40% chance
How many deportations will the US carry out in FY2025?
At least 100k recent Taiwanese refugees reach US territory any time through 2031
31% chance
Will over 1 million non-citizens be deported by the US in 2025?
35% chance
Will net migration be over 350,000 as reported for 2023?
93% chance