Which will be the second of these things to happen in 2026?
2
Ṁ450Ṁ64Dec 31
5%
None of these will happen in 2026.
5%
A formal peace treaty is signed by Ukraine and Russia.
5%
The EU AI Act fully enters into force (key provisions enforced, not just passed).
5%
A peer-reviewed paper claims strong biosignatures on another planet or moon and is widely accepted (e.g., cited by NASA/ESA) as credible.
5%
The executives/government coalitions in at least 3 top-10 GDP countries holds less than 50% of their national parliament at the same time.
5%
A new element is officially added to the periodic table.
5%
A human lands on the Moon in a crewed mission.
5%
A major social media platform completely bans the use of anonymous accounts.
5%
A country formally declares the climate crisis a national security emergency.
5%
A new country is officially recognized by the United Nations.
5%
The Leader of a top-10 GDP country dies.
5%
BRICS members, partners, candidates are involved on opposite sites of wars or military campaigns or military strikes or military actions on at least two separate occasions.
5%
A human-to-human virus is declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by the WHO.
5%
A country admits to the Nord Stream sabotage.
5%
At least one of the following three countries is part of a war or military campaign or military strike or military action on either side. (North Korea, Turkmenistan, Eritrea)
10%
Rockstar Games officially releases Grand Theft Auto VI.
5%
A new European political party will start being represented in the European Parliament, OR an old European political party will stop being represented in the European Parliament.
5%
Only one of these will happen in 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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