I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse. Update 2026-07-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A princess drawn with a dress (rather than stick figure lines) counts as a non-stick-figure comic for this answer. Update 2026-07-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A princess drawn with a dress counts as a stick figure (not as a non-stick-figure comic).

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Anthropic or Meta release a new model, followed by starship launch and Sam Altman still CEO through end of month are most likely. See the market for live updates (60 traders, as of Jul 31, 2026).

🌭What will happen in July 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

MANIFOLD

🌭What will happen in July 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

Ṁ775Ṁ9k

in 17 hours

99.2%

Anthropic or Meta release a new model

99%

starship launch

99%

Sam Altman still CEO through end of month

99%

linked market achieves over 20 unique traders (see comments)

98.4%

noam chomsky alive until end of month

61%

$500 in mana sold in a single day during the month

38%

major tech company merger/acquisition announced

28%

Trump issues a pardon or commutation

18%

usa bombs or missle strikes syria

12%

Gold above $ 4,273 (see comment)

10%

usa bombs or missle strikes lebanon

An incumbent U.S. State governor dies in office

A sitting U.S. State or Territory governor dies in office

earthquake 7.5 magnitude or higher

web3isgoinggreat has at least 20 posts this month

An original, Nintendo approved game with "Mario" in its title is announced

1.7%

winds of winter (next GoT book) release date announced

1.5%

china taiwan military conflict resulting in at least 1 death

1.5%

a supreme court justice is replaced, or announces retirement

1.2%

ukraine russia ceasefire

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

Update 2026-07-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A princess drawn with a dress (rather than stick figure lines) counts as a non-stick-figure comic for this answer.

Update 2026-07-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A princess drawn with a dress counts as a stick figure (not as a non-stick-figure comic).

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🏖️What will happen in August 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

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anthropic already released a new model?

@strutheo 3.45 per https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=NYC&product=CF6&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0

bought Ṁ180 YES

@strutheo 7.3 17th July per https://www.iris.edu/app/seismic-monitor/table

@strutheo https://xkcd.com/3266/

https://xkcd.com/3268/

https://xkcd.com/3273/

@Chimpey /Chimpey/my-ranking-in-silver-this-month-my

@strutheo Trump threatens more strikes on Iran as Tehran warns of 'fearless' response
US Central Command (Centcom) said on Tuesday it had launched "powerful" strikes in response to attacks on three tankers in the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian state media said eight members of the country's army had been killed in US strikes in Bandar Abbas and Bushehr, southern Iran.