Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
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Dec 31
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  • Update 2025-28-01 (PST): - Conclusion includes agreements similar to Minsk II that signify the end of active conflict, even if minor violations or low-level conflict continue afterward. (AI summary of creator comment)

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2mo

Would something like Minsk II in 2015 count as a conclusion for this? My understanding is there were violations and a continual low level conflict after but it is a notably downgrade of the active conflict from what came before.

2mo

@Garzahd yes, it would.

1y

The most probable conclusion is his death. He will not stop, he is just gambling.

2y

What would be a "conclusion"? Does it have to be a formal peace treaty? An armistice? A frozen conflict?

predictedYES 2y

@PS Thinking about it, if it becomes like S and N Korea, Putin will die before 'the conclusion'.

predictedNO 2y

@PS A peace treaty or an armistice would definitely count, as would a long-term ceasefire as in the Korean War. Obviously it would take a while to be sure that a frozen conflict really was "frozen" but I would consider the Korean War concluded!

1y

@njmkw As late as 2010 there were still casualties though https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bombardment_of_Yeonpyeong

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