MANIFOLD
Zohran Mamdani runs for president in 2028?
19
Ṁ1kṀ10k
resolved Oct 28
Resolved
NO

  • Update 2025-10-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has acknowledged that Zohran Mamdani is constitutionally ineligible to be US President (born in Uganda, not a natural-born US citizen) and will resolve this market No unless there is a constitutional amendment allowing him to run.

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This is automatically No

Google could resolve this market: https://www.msn.com/en-in/news/world/the-power-they-can-t-touch-why-uganda-born-zohran-mamdani-can-never-be-us-president/ar-AA1HOYfX
(or are we betting that, by chance, a different zohran who is a citizen will be the frontrunner?)

@ArtimisFowl Crap, you're right. I suppose it's possible there would be a constitutional amendment in the meantime, but I'Ll just resolve it "No" in the mean time. 🤣

@mattknox I interpreted this question as requiring a constitutional amendment or some other extremely improbable event. It isn't 2028 yet, so technically, I do not think it should be resolved; it's just extremely improbable.

@Xiphias Yeah, I shouldn'T have resolved it, but whatever, it's not a lot of probabilty mass we're discarding. :)

@mattknox Early resolution. Could be an amendment theoretically, besides there's no benefit to resolving early

@Qoiuoiuoiu If I left it unresolved, wouldn't it tie up the mana of the bettors? I agree that I shouldn'T have resolved it, but that does seem like a benefit.

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