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MANIFOLD
What will be the best score (almost resolved) on ProgramBench at the end of 2026?
4
Ṁ125Ṁ975
resolved Jul 25
100%98.5%
>40%
0.2%
0-10%
0.4%
10-20%
0.4%
20-30%
0.4%
30-40%

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the highest recorded "almost resolved" on the official ProgramBench leaderboard (https://programbench.com/) as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. The answers are upper exclusive e.g. [0, 10).

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bought Ṁ600 YES

Opus 5 gets 41.5% almost resolved on programbench: https://www.vals.ai/benchmarks/programbench

Sorry I should have added more answers, my bad