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[ACX 2026] What will be the highest score achieved on ARC-AGI-2 before 2027?
30
Ṁ5.2kṀ33k
2027
94.7 %
expected
0.1%
50 - 59%
0.1%
60 - 69%
0.3%
70 - 79%
1.9%
80 - 89%
98%
90 - 100%

Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.

Metaculus high-level description:
This question will resolve as the highest score achieved on the ARC-AGI-2 benchmark and published on the official leaderboard before January 1, 2027.

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bought Ṁ800 YES

I know it says resolves to metaculus, but should resolve YES right now. GPT-5.6-Sol (Max) scored 92.5%

bought Ṁ750 YES

@DaftPunkRock 90%-100%% Resolves YES

@JaySocrates conditions have not yet been met

@DaftPunkRock Metaculus acknowledged the GPT-5.6 Sol result on their page already. If you want to wait until the years end for the formal call then that's fine, but it will be above 90%

bought Ṁ20 YES

We already have a score of 72.9

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