Top SWE-Bench Pro score by Jan 1, 2027?
9
1kṀ15462027
78.3 %
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
3%
40 - 49%
8%
50 - 59%
13%
60 - 69%
27%
70 - 79%
30%
80 - 89%
20%
90 - 100%
This market predicts what the highest score on the SWE-Bench Pro public dataset leaderboard will be as of January 1, 2027.
Current top performers on SWE-Bench Pro public dataset (as of October 21 2025):
claude-4-5-Sonnet: 43.6%
claude-4-Sonnet: 42.7%
Resolution Criteria: This market will resolve to the score range that contains the highest score on the official SWE-Bench Pro public dataset leaderboard (https://scale.com/leaderboard/swe_bench_pro_public) on January 1, 2027.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Best SWE-Bench Pro public score by June 30, 2026
When will SWE-bench be solved?
In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the SWE-bench Verified benchmark?
11/27/27
AI resolves at least X% on SWE-bench without any assistance, by 2028?
Which LLM Maker will hold the top Safety Score for Spiral-Bench on https://eqbench.com/spiral-bench.html on Jan1, 2027?
AI resolves at least X% on SWE-bench WITH assistance, by 2028?
In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the PhysBench leaderboard?
2036
In what year will AI achieve a score of 85% or higher on the SimpleBench leaderboard?
2/22/32