Related market: https://manifold.markets/Lemming/when-will-the-next-elections-for-th?r=TGVtbWluZw

To be clear, "in the government" means having a cabinet position, correct? And not just being part of a party in the coalition?

@UnspecifiedPerson No it means being a member of the government. You don't have to be a minister. Of course in practice, these guys are all likely to have a portfolio if they are in the government.

Dark Speculator here thinking it will be Gantz+Lapid+Meretz or Gantz+Haredim or something like that.

I mean, the first new government formed after new elections. If there is another round and the same government, that does NOT resolve.