Will we have cold fusion by 2030?
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Does muon-catalyzed fusion count?

Does having it just mean it's been credibly demonstrated, or does it mean we have operational cold fusion power plants?

@adele it means operational power plants that can replace most power sources we're currently using. To be specific, we don't need to have the plants literally running, but there has to be enough confidence in whatever fusion technique discovered that such plans will be underway.

@levifinkelstein thanks! Would such plants still count if they're using muon-catalyzed fusion? (Is credibly demonstrated to work at room temperature, but requires muons which take lots of energy to make)

@adele I don't know much about cold fusion. But it would count so long as it's fusion and has the promised mega energy production capabilities that people describe cold fusion as having. So if it's not the magic power production wand promised it doesn't count.

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