Will gravity still exist on Jan 1 2025?
Basic
20
Ṁ1548
resolved Nov 28
Resolved as
94%

This market is based on: https://manifold.markets/JonathanRay/will-gravity-still-exist-on-jan-1-2

Resolves prob to market when the price has been stable +/- 3% for 1 week.

Created as a proof of concept that these types of markets have equilibria close to the true odds and far from 50%. - @JonathanRay

#Science
#Self-resolving
#Unranked
#Unsubsidized
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
9 Comments
17 Holders
50 Trades
Sort by:
predicted YES

Price has been stable for much longer than a week, please resolve.

@LeatherComputer

@levifinkelstein please resolve

predicted YES

import antigravity

Looks like the price has been stable at 94% for > 1 week.

Same resolution criterion (ignoring insignificant details):

predicted NO

@roma but... what about the Schelling point? 🤔

@levifinkelstein Ah, that's what it called! Was thinking about this concept since all this has started.

Does the close date get extended on 1/1/25 or does it resolve to the prob at close?

@Joshua it gets extended until it's time to resolve

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules