MANIFOLD
Will gravity still exist on Jan 1 2025?
20
Ṁ390Ṁ1.5k
resolved Nov 28
Resolved as
94%

This market is based on: https://manifold.markets/JonathanRay/will-gravity-still-exist-on-jan-1-2

Resolves prob to market when the price has been stable +/- 3% for 1 week.

Created as a proof of concept that these types of markets have equilibria close to the true odds and far from 50%. - @JonathanRay

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predictedYES

Price has been stable for much longer than a week, please resolve.

@LeatherComputer

@levifinkelstein please resolve

predictedYES

import antigravity

Looks like the price has been stable at 94% for > 1 week.

Same resolution criterion (ignoring insignificant details):

predictedNO

@roma but... what about the Schelling point? 🤔

@levifinkelstein Ah, that's what it called! Was thinking about this concept since all this has started.

Does the close date get extended on 1/1/25 or does it resolve to the prob at close?

@Joshua it gets extended until it's time to resolve

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