[Metaculus] Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?
15
2.8k
2030
70%
chance

Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if none of the following occur before January 1, 2030:

This question will resolve as No (meaning this is no longer a "normal" world) if one or more of the above Metaculus questions has positively resolved before January 1, 2030.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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Oh my, who has mana to lock up in this until 2030?

bought Ṁ50 YES

Those of us who are here out of boredom and not because we're trying to maximize ROI.