Days I'll create a market in Dec?
8
175Ṁ1291
Dec 31
25.5 Days Creating a Poll
expected
0.8%
1 - 5
0.8%
6 - 10
0.8%
11 - 15
0.9%
16 - 20
40%
21 - 25
57%
26 - 31

Did this market in November and had a fun time so lets do it again

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to the number of days in December on which I create at least one market on Manifold Markets. Each day counts only once, regardless of how many markets are created that day. This market itself counts toward the total. Resolution will be determined by checking my Manifold Markets profile at the end of December to count the distinct dates on which markets were created. I will try to update the market or leave comments linking to the created markets.

This market could resolve early if there is no way to move to another bucket in the last few days. For example on Dec 28 if I have 26 days with questions then I will resolve the 26-31 bucket as YES since that bucket will go down and there is not further buckets up.

Considerations

Since this market counts toward its own resolution, creating it on a given day means that day automatically counts toward the total, even if no other markets are created that day.

Currently 23/31 days, Missed 4

Dec 1 – Days I'll create a market in Dec?

Dec 2 – Next State to have active legislation for LVT in 2026?

Dec 3 – Fear and Greed Index on 1 Jan 2026?

Dec 4 – Will Turso be acquired in 2026?

Dec 5 – Which Cloud Provider will have the next major outage?

Dec 6 – Will the Raspberry Pi 6 be released in 2026?

Dec 7 – Will I take 70,000 steps this week?

Dec 8 – Will US unemployment get above 6% in 2026?

Dec 9 – Will Robotaxis in Austin have no safety monitors in 3 weeks?

Dec 10 – What will be the closing price of QQQ at market close Dec-11?

Dec 11 – Will the mean SAT for 2026 be below the mean SAT for 2025?

Dec 12 – How many outages will CloudFlare have in 2026?

Dec 13 – What will the US obesity rate be in 2030? (N/A because of issue)

Dec 14 – What will the US obesity rate be at the end of 2026?

Dec 15 – Will Iron Lung have a higher IMDB rating than The Edge of Sleep?

Dec 16 – MISSED

Dec 17 – Will Dr Mike do a 3rd Jubilee Debate ?

Dec 18 – Will Serve Robotics (SERV) Stock price be higher than 10.12 in one month?

Dec 19 – Will Avatar 4 have a better opening weekend than Avatar: Fire and Ash?

Dec 20 – Will Claude Chrome extension have a higher rating by End of Dec?

Dec 21 – MISSED

Dec 22 – QQQ Price at Close on Dec 23?

Dec 23 – How much downstream network traffic will I use on Dec-24?

Dec 24 – Total cases of measles in Utah at the end of Jan-2026?

Dec 25 – MISSED

Dec 26 – MISSED

Dec 27 – Will EFA out perform SPY in 2026?

Dec 28 – N/A

Dec 29 – N/A

Dec 30 – N/A

Dec 31 – N/A

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