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@Primer for purposes of this market, "broken" means some entity could actually decrypt it in less than a decade with the amount of compute they have, without possessing the key, and without side-channel leaks.

## Related questions

## Related questions

Will AES-256 encryption be broken by 2070?

25% chance

Will 1024-bit RSA be broken by a quantum computer by 2025?

1% chance

πWhat will happen before RSA-2048 encryption is widely considered broken?

RSA-2048 encryption will be broken by 2032

20% chance

Will Quantum computing break RSA encryption before 2030?

34% chance

256-bit ECC will be broken by 2032

40% chance

Will RSA-2048 encryption be broken before Bitcoin reaches $100K USD?

32% chance

Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?

21% chance

Will AI or AI-assisted math break AES-256 before quantum computing does?

27% chance

Will a quantum computer break AES256 encryption in the next 12 month?

2% chance