Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
@Primer for purposes of this market, "broken" means some entity could actually decrypt it in less than a decade with the amount of compute they have, without possessing the key, and without side-channel leaks.
More related questions
Related questions
Will a quantum computer break AES256 encryption in the next 12 month?
4% chance
Will a quantum computer show a clear advantage vs classical computers in solving a major cryptographic problem by 2030?
38% chance
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be revealed before 2031?
10% chance
Will AI or AI-assisted math break AES-256 before quantum computing does?
29% chance
Will quantum computers break current encryption algorithms by 2024?
10% chance
SHA256 collision by 2032-06-18?
17% chance
256-bit ECC will be broken by 2032
40% chance
Will a first preimage attack on md5 be performed by the end of 2027?
33% chance
Will an LLM crack an encryption cipher in 2024?
2% chance