Will the Vast Haven-1 successfully reach orbit atop any SpaceX rocket, at any point in 2030?
14
Ṁ6232030
73%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
@Mqrius I will go for “spirit of the market” rather than “overly literal interpretation of the question” for this one, so will resolve YES if it happens before 2030
Fair enough! Here's related markets:
/Mqrius/will-haven1-launch-in-2025-or-earli
/jonny/will-the-vast-haven1-successfully-r
/Mqrius/will-haven1-launch-in-2026-or-earli
/Mqrius/will-haven1-launch-in-2027-or-earli
/Mqrius/will-haven1-launch-in-2028-or-earli
/jonny/will-the-vast-haven1-successfully-r-425137f13e9f
Related questions
Related questions
Which of these rockets will reach orbit in 2024?
Will SpaceX perform at least 144 successful orbital launches in the year 2024?
14% chance
Will the Vast Haven-1 successfully reach orbit atop any SpaceX rocket, at any point in 2025?
17% chance
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?
46% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?
63% chance
Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?
28% chance
Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?
51% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2050?
42% chance
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2040?
49% chance