Will the Vast Haven-1 successfully reach orbit atop any SpaceX rocket, at any point in 2030?
13
61
270
2030
70%
chance

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Is this for only 2030 as the title suggests, or will it also resolve Yes if it happens earlier than that?

@Mqrius I will go for “spirit of the market” rather than “overly literal interpretation of the question” for this one, so will resolve YES if it happens before 2030

predicts NO

What happened this morning?