Will the Vast Haven-1 successfully reach orbit atop any SpaceX rocket, at any point in 2030?
15
1kṀ6732030
69%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@Mqrius I will go for “spirit of the market” rather than “overly literal interpretation of the question” for this one, so will resolve YES if it happens before 2030
Fair enough! Here's related markets:
/Mqrius/will-haven1-launch-in-2025-or-earli
/jonny/will-the-vast-haven1-successfully-r
/Mqrius/will-haven1-launch-in-2026-or-earli
/Mqrius/will-haven1-launch-in-2027-or-earli
/Mqrius/will-haven1-launch-in-2028-or-earli
/jonny/will-the-vast-haven1-successfully-r-425137f13e9f
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Vast Haven-1 successfully reach orbit atop any SpaceX rocket, at any point in 2025?
13% chance
Will Haven-1 launch in 2025 or earlier?
38% chance
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
Will anyone propulsively land an orbital-class rocket booster within a decade of SpaceX?
45% chance
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?
50% chance
Will SpaceX launch a reused Super Heavy rocket booster successfully by the end of 2025?
72% chance
🚀 Will SpaceX Achieve 100 Successful Launches In 2025?
98% chance
Will Haven-1 launch in 2026 or earlier?
63% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2030?
9% chance
Will Haven-1 launch in 2027 or earlier?
67% chance