Will an LLM Built on a State Space Model Architecture Have Been SOTA at any Point before EOY 2027? [READ DESCRIPTION]
➕
Plus
15
Ṁ502
2027
43%
chance

I don't mean "achieves SOTA on one benchmark", or "is the best FOSS model", I mean "is the equivalent of what GPT-4 is right now".

The SSM must be in contention for the position as the most generally capable LLM. I will not trade in this market because the resolution condition isn't entirely objective.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

By ssm, do u mean like rnn?

@HanchiSun I think he means like Mamba: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2312.00752.pdf
They are vaguely related to RNNs though

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules