Will LLMs improve any major aspect of the Riemann hypothesis by EOY 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ10Dec 31
45%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Unreleased version of Claude increased the lower bound for the fraction of zeros of the Riemann zeta function that satisfy the Riemann hypothesis from 41.6% to 67.2%.
"Major" is judged by me.
Update 2026-08-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The creator confirmed that the Claude improvement (increasing the lower bound of zeros from 41.6% to 67.2%) is considered a "major" improvement.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Claude Riemann Hypothesis Lower Bound improved upon before 2027?
50% chance
Will an LLM find a counterexample to the Erdős conjecture on APs by July 2027?
8% chance
Will the Riemann Hypothesis be solved before 2030?
40% chance
Will an LLM improve its own ability along some important metric well beyond the best trained LLMs before 2026?
14% chance
Will there by a major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2027?
18% chance
Will we have a proof of the Riemann Hypothesis by 2060?
78% chance
Will Riemann hypothesis be proven or refuted before 2050?
50% chance
Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?
83% chance
Will LLMs Daydream by EOY 2026?
19% chance
Will there be any major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2029?
87% chance
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Claude Riemann Hypothesis Lower Bound improved upon before 2027?
50% chance
Will an LLM find a counterexample to the Erdős conjecture on APs by July 2027?
8% chance
Will the Riemann Hypothesis be solved before 2030?
40% chance
Will an LLM improve its own ability along some important metric well beyond the best trained LLMs before 2026?
14% chance
Will there by a major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2027?
18% chance
Will we have a proof of the Riemann Hypothesis by 2060?
78% chance
Will Riemann hypothesis be proven or refuted before 2050?
50% chance
Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?
83% chance
Will LLMs Daydream by EOY 2026?
19% chance
Will there be any major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2029?
87% chance