Will at least 1% of datacenter capacity be in space by EOY 2028?
24
Ṁ1kṀ6.8k2028
5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
What exactly is the advantage of space datacenters vs for example floating ones? Heat management is space is a nightmare. You can just as well deploy a barge with extendable solar panes and you'll have cool ocean water to dump heat into. There are plenty of places in the ocean where you have clear weather 80+% of the time.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will SpaceX / xAI have a functioning space-based datacentre with 10K or more H100-class (or better) GPU's by 2032?
32% chance
Will there be 1GW of orbital data center compute by EOY 2031?
Space datacenter industry generates $100M+ annual revenue by December 31, 2029
32% chance
Will there be a functional ≥100MW data center in space before 2031?
27% chance
When will there be ≥10GW of data center capacity in space?
OpenAI reaches 250GW compute capacity by EOY 2033?
21% chance
Will a major AI lab enter the aerospace industry by EOY 2026?
86% chance
Will there be over 1 GW of data center on the moon by EOY 2032?
13% chance
Will Lumen Orbit have at least one functioning megawatt-scale data center in space by the end of 2027?
2% chance
Will Lumen Orbit have at least one functioning megawatt-scale data center in space by the end of 2028?
6% chance