Will a humanoid robot set foot on Mars before a biological human does?
48
2.7kṀ20k2028
58%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
it has to take a step for it to count
Update 2025-13-01 (PST): - If both humanoid robots and biological humans are part of the same mission, the market will resolve as 'yes' if the robots take a step before the humans. (AI summary of creator comment)
Update 2025-16-01 (PST): - Humanoid robots with wheels for feet will count as setting foot if they take a step with their wheels or roll on them. (AI summary of creator comment)
Update 2025-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market close date will be extended as necessary if the events determining the outcome (a humanoid robot or a biological human setting foot on Mars) have not occurred by the current close date.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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