For this to resolve yes before the expiration date, the mission will need to launch by late 2027 to early 2028. I don't see that happening. But I would bet yes for a new event with a later expiry.

@Samaritan I would suggest that the "before a biological human does" to mean that the close date should be extended until one or other happens.

Sensible to check with creator though @jim

@ChristopherRandles fair point. The creator never specified what would happen if neither happen by expiry.

Would a humanoid robot with wheels for feet count as setting foot? They can roll on those wheels or step with them. Context: https://x.com/kyleichan/status/1819824220060446932

@Ammar lol, sure. Although I don't think it makes sense for a bipedal robot

@jim I mostly agree, but seeing the robot stand on two legs in video i linked earlier triggered the thought

If humanoid robots and humans were on the same mission but the robots were let out first, would this market resolve as 'yes'?

@Ammar don't see why not!

This market should be strictly higher than this one, I think.

https://manifold.markets/Daniel_MC/will-an-optimus-robot-walk-on-mars

50% seems high to me. What is the utility of sending a humanoid robot to mars? There are more robust form factors (e.g., quadrupeds) that can cover varied terrain and don’t require solving the problem of bipedal motion in mars gravity.

@Lamnidae whats the utility of sending a tesla into space?

@ryansil demonstrate the capability with a low stakes payload, generate publicity, etc.

@Lamnidae Depending on the time that the rockets to go mars, Humanoids may be our most sophisticated and capable robots.

@Lamnidae created this market for you: https://manifold.markets/Ammar/will-a-legged-robot-mission-set-foo?play=true