it has to take a step for it to count
Update 2025-13-01 (PST): - If both humanoid robots and biological humans are part of the same mission, the market will resolve as 'yes' if the robots take a step before the humans. (AI summary of creator comment)
Update 2025-16-01 (PST): - Humanoid robots with wheels for feet will count as setting foot if they take a step with their wheels or roll on them. (AI summary of creator comment)
1,000
3.00Would a humanoid robot with wheels for feet count as setting foot? They can roll on those wheels or step with them. Context: https://x.com/kyleichan/status/1819824220060446932
@jim I mostly agree, but seeing the robot stand on two legs in video i linked earlier triggered the thought
This market should be strictly higher than this one, I think.
https://manifold.markets/Daniel_MC/will-an-optimus-robot-walk-on-mars
50% seems high to me. What is the utility of sending a humanoid robot to mars? There are more robust form factors (e.g., quadrupeds) that can cover varied terrain and don’t require solving the problem of bipedal motion in mars gravity.
@Lamnidae Depending on the time that the rockets to go mars, Humanoids may be our most sophisticated and capable robots.
@Lamnidae created this market for you: https://manifold.markets/Ammar/will-a-legged-robot-mission-set-foo?play=true