When will the first humans set foot on Mars?
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This market resolves to whatever year in which a human being sets foot on the surface of the planet Mars and remains alive for at least one minute after arriving. Orbiting doesn't count, nor does landing in a spaceship and taking off again without leaving the spacecraft.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@strutheo Oh, I hadn't seen that. I'll keep this one bc i like the year-long buckets, but nice market :p
@HenriLaupmaa I recommend pressing "about right" > "advanced" to see the full distribution, and picking the range you want to bet on
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