Will an Optimus robot walk on Mars before a human?
35
1kṀ36592050
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if any humanoid robot built by an Elon Musk company takes a step on Mars before a human does.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
This market should be lower than this one:
https://manifold.markets/jim/will-a-humanoid-robot-set-foot-on-m
Related questions
Related questions
Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
60% chance
Will a humanoid robot set foot on Mars before a biological human does?
38% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2045?
67% chance
Will a legged robot mission set foot on Mars before a biological human does?
50% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2040?
59% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before a human returns to the Moon?
8% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2035?
30% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2039?
54% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2034?
25% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2037?
43% chance