14
107
Ṁ291Ṁ510
2101
2039
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to whatever year in which a human being sets foot on the surface of the planet Mars and remains alive for at least one minute after arriving. Orbiting doesn't count, nor does landing in a spaceship and taking off again without first going out for a stroll.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will a human walk on Mars before 2039?
45% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2040?
46% chance
When will the first humans land on Mars?
2042
When will the first Mars landing occur?
Will a human step foot on Mars by 2040?
40% chance
When will SpaceX land humans on Mars?
2039
In what year will a human walk on Mars?
2,045
In what year will a human walk on Mars?
2042
Will a human walk on Mars before 2044?
56% chance
When will there be people living permanently on mars?