Will a human step foot on Mars by 2040?
47
227
1k
2041
38%
chance
This market resolves yes if on or before Jan 1st, 2041, a human has set foot on the Martian surface.
Get Ṁ600 play money
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bought Ṁ10 of NO

Obligatory question: crashing on Mars counts?

predicts YES

@mariopasquato Nope, they have to at least take one step alive.

bought Ṁ1 of YES
Will this market resolve early if a human steps foot on Mars before 2040?
bought Ṁ100 of NO
"Closes in 19 years." Ugh, what was I thinking......
bought Ṁ20 of YES
M$ 36 before 2040 or M$ -20 in 2040. I take it.