Will a humanoid robot set foot on the Moon before the next biological human
💎
Premium
17
Ṁ2913
2028
39%
chance

This market resolves YES if a humanoid robot physically makes contact with the lunar surface before the next human does, and NO otherwise. Resolution will be based on official announcements from space agencies (NASA, CNSA, etc.) and verified mission data.

Key context:

  • China's Chang'e-8 mission plans to send a humanoid robot to the Moon's south pole in 2028

  • NASA's Artemis 3, the first crewed Moon landing since Apollo 17, is targeted for September 2026

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

What's your criteria for what counts as "humanoid"?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules