What's your p(AI Holywood-quality movies by 2028)?
23
Dec 31
>90%
60%-90%
40%-60%
10%-40%
<10%
<1%
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I give it around 10 percent but higher in terms of market resolution because there's been several AI related markets that resolved Yes on technicalities that I believe shouldn't have counted.
An AI movie will definitely be released in this timeframe so it'll come down to coherence and quality, inevitably subjective resolution.
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