Will an "AI-drawn movie" have a rating >=8.0 on IMDB before 2025? | Manifold

Will an "AI-drawn movie" have a rating >=8.0 on IMDB before 2025?

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Aug 27, 12:51pm: ~~Will an "AI-drawn movie" have a rating >=8.0 on IMDB before 2024?~~ → Will an "AI-drawn movie" have a rating >=8.0 on IMDB before 2025?

Aug 26, 9:43pm: By AI drawn movie I mean something predominately drawn by models like stable diffusion (though they may be edited and compiled into a story etc by humans).

Aug 26, 9:49pm: Must have >100 reviews to resolve early

Close date updated to 2023-01-31 11:59 pm

Close date updated to 2024-12-31 11:59 pm

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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predicts NO

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based on? marketed as AI made? backgrounds drawn by AI? loosely based on some noise generated by GPT4? concept art being procedurally generated?

yes

Actual AI-drawn? no

But I am not sure how resistant this market will be to false AI-puffery.

Close date is end of 2024 but title is "before 2024"?

@MartinRandall Ah shit. Apologies, I keep rushing and messing up. We can stick to 2024 and I'll change the close date.

@GeorgeVii Hmm, although its a very different question now. Ok no one has bet a ton on this so I will change the title to before 2025. Sorry folks

@GeorgeVii The other question on "... >=$100M gross" had slightly more bet on it, so I've kept that one as the original title

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