Will an AI-drawn movie have a rating >=7.0 on IMDB by 2025?
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600
2025
32%
chance

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Will this resolve to YES even if, e.g. its a not-well-known movie with just 5 ratings that average >= 7?

bought Ṁ13 of NO

Sure, I'll bet against that.

I don't see this as a capabilities play, probably some video diffusion model will be capable of creating a 7.0-worthy movie in that timeline.

I'm mostly buying NO reading into public sentiment. Artsy types have been broadly against AI so far. I'm predicting that will accelerate, and their collective tastemaking capacity will still be intact in 2025, enough to tank IMDB user ratings

Will an "AI-drawn movie" have a rating >=7.0 on IMDB before 2025?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

bought Ṁ39 of NO