Will the US stock market have experienced another lost decade before 2034?
18
1kṀ813
2034
20%
chance

For the purpose of this market, a lost decade is defined as a 10-year period where the S&P500 ends at the same level it started.

Intraday extrema will be used to resolve this question, not closing or opening prices.

Note: The start date of that decade can predate market creation. For example, if the SPX dropped below 1,729.44 on Monday, September 18th, 2023 (2 days after market creation), then the question would resolve to YES, since the high-point on September 18th, 2013, was 1,729.44.

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