Will the US stock market have experienced another lost decade before 2034?
Plus
12
Ṁ1452034
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For the purpose of this market, a lost decade is defined as a 10-year period where the S&P500 ends at the same level it started.
Intraday extrema will be used to resolve this question, not closing or opening prices.
Note: The start date of that decade can predate market creation. For example, if the SPX dropped below 1,729.44 on Monday, September 18th, 2023 (2 days after market creation), then the question would resolve to YES, since the high-point on September 18th, 2013, was 1,729.44.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in any quarter of 2024?
2% chance
Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?
22% chance
Will the US economy have a recession [two quarters of negative GDP growth] in 2024?
5% chance
Will the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030?
38% chance
Will the US unemployment rate exceed 10% again before 2030?
21% chance
Will US unemployment be 10% or more before 2030?
23% chance
By end of 2030, will any US company be worth $10 trillion, in inflation adjusted 2022 dollars?
35% chance
Will US Housing Prices Drop by 20%+ by the End of 2030?
32% chance
Will a stock in the S&P 500 be down 90% by 2024 year end?
21% chance
Will non-US stocks outperform US stocks in 2024?
11% chance