This market resolves to YES if at any point between now and January 1, 2040, the closing price of the S&P 500 falls more than 50% from its all-time high closing price at the time this market was created or from a new all-time high reached after this market was created. Only closing prices will be considered.
For example:
The S&P 500 current closing ATH is
6,144.15. If it falls below 3072.28 (50% drop) at any point before January 1, 2040, this market resolves to YES.If the S&P 500 reaches a new ATH (e.g., 10,000) and then falls below 5,000 (50% drop from that new ATH) before January 1, 2040, this market resolves to YES.
If the S&P 500 never falls more than 50% from its ATH before January 1, 2040, this market resolves to NO.
If the S&P 500 no longer opens and closes, then intraday prices will be considered instead.