Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in one day in the period from 2026 to 2032?
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28%
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Resolution Criteria: The market will be based on closing prices only, comparing the close to close price movement from one day to the next.
Intraday Prices: Any price movements within the trading day will not be considered.
Weekend closes count: The market will consider close-to-close price movements from Friday to Monday as a single day-to-day comparison for the purposes of determining if there was a >5% decrease.
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